MyTopMatch

ORIGINAL MYTOPMATCH RESEARCH

VERIFIED DIRECT-DATA INDEX

Stockers Rank First for Opportunity Relative to Measured Formal Preparation

The 2026 Opportunity-to-Barrier Index compares 747 occupations while keeping pay, scale, access, and uncertainty visible.

Opportunity and Barrier pillar scores for the primary top ten, ordered by Opportunity Efficiency.
Figure 1. Opportunity and Barrier pillar scores for the primary top ten, ordered by Opportunity Efficiency. Source analysis: MyTopMatch Research.

The finding at a glance

Rank 1 of 747

Stockers and order fillers led the complete-case Opportunity Efficiency ranking.

70.9 score

Opportunity 79.27 minus Barrier 37.50, centered through the frozen formula.

Rank range 1–4

The leader remained in the top four in every leave-one-component-out test.

Pay component 11.0

The visible component prevents the overall result from being mistaken for a high-pay ranking.

Stockers and order fillers ranked first among 747 complete-case occupations in MyTopMatch's Opportunity-to-Barrier Index. The occupation combined an Opportunity score of 79.27 with a measured Barrier score of 37.50, producing Opportunity Efficiency of 70.89, reported as 70.9.

The score reflects market scale, projected openings and growth, geographic breadth, compensation, and formal preparation. Stockers' pay component was 11.0 out of 100. The result therefore does not label the occupation the best career overall; it identifies a strong combination of scale and access under the defined measure.

Opportunity and barrier remain visible

The Opportunity pillar gives equal weight to median pay, openings rate, log annual openings, projected growth, log employment scale, and geographic breadth. The Barrier pillar gives equal weight to BLS typical entry education, related work experience, on-the-job training, and O*NET Job Zone.

Highly skewed count variables are log transformed. Each component is oriented so a higher value means more of the named construct, converted to a robust z-score, and mapped through the standard normal cumulative distribution to a 0–100 score. Opportunity Efficiency equals 50 plus one-half of the difference between Opportunity and Barrier.

The leader was stable; exact ranks were less stable

Stockers and order fillers ranked between first and fourth when each component was omitted in turn. The broader table moved more under reasonable alternatives: the weakest top-decile retention was 64%, and the median span between an occupation's 5th- and 95th-percentile simulated ranks was 69 positions.

MyTopMatch therefore emphasizes high-scoring tiers, component values, and sensitivity measures. A tenth of an index point should not be read as a meaningful difference in a worker's lived opportunity.

Licensing and job quality are outside the primary score

The primary Barrier score measures typical formal preparation. It does not contain a nationally complete occupation-by-state legal-requirement matrix. Missing licensing records are never treated as evidence that no license exists. The public result also omits benefits, schedule predictability, injury risk, turnover, worker voice, commuting constraints, and advancement quality.

How to use the result

A job seeker can use a high score to begin a local investigation: review current openings, hourly pay, scheduled hours, benefits, physical demands, training, equipment and software expectations, transportation, and advancement paths. Employers and workforce organizations can examine which screens predict retention, safety, performance, and progression.

What this research cannot establish

  • A personal hiring probability or fit judgment.
  • Universal employer requirements or complete legal access.
  • Job quality or advancement quality.
  • A causal effect of low formal preparation on opportunity.
  • A permanent ranking under future releases or every reasonable specification.

Primary Opportunity-to-Barrier top ten

RankOccupationOpportunityBarrierEfficiency
1Stockers and order fillers79.2737.5070.89
2Fast food and counter workers75.5837.5069.04
3Landscaping and groundskeeping workers74.5137.5068.51
4Home health and personal care aides80.6243.7568.44
5Bartenders74.0137.5068.26
6Shuttle drivers and chauffeurs73.6837.5068.09
7Dining room and cafeteria attendants and bartender helpers72.8637.5067.68
8Construction laborers71.4037.5066.95
9Animal caretakers77.5643.7566.91
10Food servers, nonrestaurant71.2637.5066.88

Source: MyTopMatch OTB-1.0 using BLS 2025–35 Employment Projections, May 2025 OEWS, and O*NET 31.0.

How the analysis was built

Methodology OTB-1.0; finding MTM-OTB-001. Ten inputs are robust-CDF normalized. Opportunity and Barrier remain separate, and Opportunity Efficiency = 50 + 0.5 × (Opportunity − Barrier). Complete source outcomes and a mapped O*NET Job Zone are required. Licensing is excluded from the public primary score because nationally complete occupation-by-state coverage is unavailable.

Read the MyTopMatch research standards and methodology framework →

How to read this research

SOURCE DATA
Facts reported by the cited government or occupational-data publishers.
DERIVED CALCULATIONS
Values calculated by MyTopMatch from the source data using the documented method.
STATISTICAL FINDINGS
Relationships that passed the stated analytical and validation checks.
INTERPRETATION
Practical meaning and hypotheses kept separate from directly observed facts.

Questions about the finding

Does rank one mean stockers have the best job prospects in America?

It means the occupation ranked first on this defined measure of opportunity relative to measured formal preparation. Pay, working conditions, local demand, fit, and mobility remain separate considerations.

Why include both openings and employment size?

They measure different constructs: expected hiring needs and the scale of the existing market. An openings-rate component reduces the advantage of size alone.

Why is licensing outside the primary score?

No nationally complete occupation-by-state licensing matrix passed the coverage gate. Missing records are not scored as zero burden.

Sources and citations

  1. BLS Occupational Projections and Worker Characteristics, 2025–35U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  2. BLS Education and Training Assignments by Detailed Occupation, 2025U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  3. BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics TablesU.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  4. O*NET 31.0 DatabaseU.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration
  5. O*NET 31.0 Database Content LicenseU.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training AdministrationO*NET 31.0 is used under CC BY 4.0. MyTopMatch modified and combined some information; USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested those modifications.

Source agencies have not approved or endorsed MyTopMatch's transformations, analysis, or conclusions. BLS cannot vouch for analyses created from its data.

This page includes information from the O*NET 31.0 Database by the U.S. Department of Labor, Employment and Training Administration (USDOL/ETA), used under the CC BY 4.0 license. O*NET® is a trademark of USDOL/ETA. MyTopMatch modified and combined some information; USDOL/ETA has not approved, endorsed, or tested those modifications.

Cite this original research

MyTopMatch Research. “Stockers Rank First for Opportunity Relative to Measured Formal Preparation.” MyTopMatch Labor Market Research, 2026. Methodology OTB-1.0. Finding MTM-OTB-001. https://mytopmatch.com/research/opportunity-to-barrier-index-2026.

When quoting, summarizing, or reproducing MyTopMatch-created analysis, identify MyTopMatch Research as the analyst and link to this canonical page. The cited government agencies and O*NET remain the underlying data publishers.